sparsesurv - Forecasting and Early Outbreak Detection for Sparse Count Data

Functions for fitting, forecasting, and early detection of outbreaks in sparse surveillance count time series. Supports negative binomial (NB), self-exciting NB, generalise autoregressive moving average (GARMA) NB , zero-inflated NB (ZINB), self-exciting ZINB, generalise autoregressive moving average ZINB, and hurdle formulations. Climatic and environmental covariates can be included in the regression component and/or the zero-modified components. Includes outbreak-detection algorithms for NB, ZINB, and hurdle models, with utilities for prediction and diagnostics.